Development of Mathematical Model for a Quantitative Assessment of Consequences of Illegal Financial Operations

Authors

  • Valery Leonidovich Makarov Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН , The Central economic-mathematical institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences Автор
  • Albert Raufovich Bakhtizin Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН , The Central economic-mathematical institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences Автор
  • Elena Davidovna Sushko Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН , The Central economic-mathematical institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences Автор
  • Maria Alekseevna Burilina Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН , The Central economic-mathematical institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences Автор

Keywords:

illegal financial operations, corruption, computable models of the general equilibrium, CGE model

Abstract

In this article we observe a short form of the computable model of the general equilibrium of social and economic system in Russian Federation. It is allowing to carry out a quantitative assessment of consequences of illegal financial operations is described (withdrawal of budgetary funds; evasion of taxes by natural and legal entities; a conclusion of financial assets abroad) on the main macro-economic indicators. By means of model the computing experiments are estimating communication between some components of shadow economy and the main macroeconomic indicators of the country (GDP and a consumer price index), the results of it are given in the end of article.

Published

2016-05-15

Issue

Section

Articles