Assessment of the Prospects for the Development of the Region Based on the Concept of Sustainable Development

Abstract

The issues of long-term development of Russian regions do not lose their relevance, both from a theoretical and practical point of view. One of the important issues of the regional economy on the agenda remains the issue of sustainable development of regional socio-economic systems. To date, there are unresolved issues on the formation of a comprehensive methodology for assessing the prospects for the development of the region from the perspective of its sustainable development. The purpose of the article is to develop a methodology for assessing the prospects for the development of the region based on the concept of sustainable development, implemented in the form of a flowchart. To achieve this goal, the following tasks were identified: to review research in the field of assessing the prospects for the development of the region, to identify the optimal set of methods and tools for assessing the prospects for the development of the region, differentiated by components of sustainable development, to formulate a definition of tools and methods for assessing the prospects for the development of the region, to formulate a definition of assessing the prospects for the development of the region. The subject of the research are tools and methods for assessing the prospects for the development of the region. During the analysis of the scientific literature, it was found that the assessment of the prospects for the development of the region is carried out by performing 6 steps: selection of indicators for the development of the region, retrospective analysis, forecasting, assessment of prospects, formation of corrective measures, development of a strategy for socio-economic development. Based on the review of scientific literature, definitions of forecasting socio-economic development and assessing the prospects for the development of the region were formulated. As part of the comparison of the contents of the concepts of «forecasting» and «assessment of prospects» for the development of the region, common characteristics and the difference between these concepts are established, which lies in the very purpose of carrying out a particular procedure. The article defines the tools and methods for assessing the prospects for the development of the region from the perspective of the theory of public administration and the theory of socio-economic systems. The difference between these concepts is defined. During the preparation of the scheme for assessing the prospects for the development of the region, the proposed research tools and methods for assessing prospects were described, as well as the expected result was formulated within the framework of each step of the algorithm for a comprehensive assessment of the prospects for the development of the region based on the concept of sustainable development. A comprehensive scheme for assessing the prospects for the development of the region is proposed, which includes an analysis of external and internal conditions affecting the sustainable development of the region, an assessment of development prospects for three components of sustainable development, as well as a comprehensive assessment of development prospects using the integral index of sustainable development, which allows to assess the overall sustainable development of the region. The proposed scheme eliminates the shortcomings of existing methods for assessing the prospects for the development of the region.